Readers of this blog will note that, in my personal opinion, the threat of ISIL, has been overblown. Yes, they have staged terror attacks but so did Al Qaeda. My belief then, as it is now, is that by trying to become an overt state, they doomed themselves to extinction given the relative military strength of their opponents.
They are, at this moment in time, being rolled back slowly but surely. I think that ISIL, relatively early in 2016, will go the way of the Ebola virus, as a scare tactic. The only question, in my mind, is what will replace it, in time for the elections? I think that question could form the basis for office pools in the coming year.